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Special Cause Variation and Climate Change?
Does climate change data indicate special cause variation?
Since I couldn't find the answer I found some of my own raw climate data and plugged it into minitab just to mess with it and didn't see anything but I only looked at one component (average Jan temp from 1800's to today). I know there are multiple ways to look at this (local vs global, water vs air, range changes, measurement system issues etc). This led me to a second question: Is a slow rise in mean indicative of special cause variation (even if the points are 'in control') or does it mean something is changing fundamentally in the larger system (not an 'assignable cause' but more of a second order change)?
I would think that others would have plugged various stratifications of data into a control chart for climate data but I literally can't find anything on the internet! It's weird. I cannot find a control chart associated with climate data and the graphs I can find just give me more questions (how they got there, what logic was used etc).
I'm not a statistician by any means, I'm just messing around and would appreciate any guidance on where I can find a thorough review of this.
So, the server is down?
$student: Can you help me, I'm having trouble accessing a page to do my homework, it was working earlier. (pulls out Macbook Pro, the math page is open and I can see the "Access Forbidden Page")I'm not sure how he got that from what I said, but he left saying he was going to complain. Oh well.
nightspades: sure, ... oh it seems like you are trying to access your math homework, unfortunately the software that you need to use for that can't be used on OSX.
$student: but I was on it earlier, on this computer! When it stopped working, I tried to access it on a Mac here, but I couldn't get it to load.
nightspades: oh I see, well unfortunately the only way you'll be able to access your homework is to load it on a window's computer, I'm not sure how it could have worked earlier on your computer.
$student: So, Is the server down?