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MEGA DD: BANGBUS EV going public - Everything you need to know (price targets to speculative Apple acquisition) and my $347K => $1.5mm bet 🚀🚀🚀

NFA! This is my $347K bet on the next EV company to blow up. In fact, its the only American EV company (besides TSLA) that's worth investing in. **Flame suit on** These are the reasons why this Bangbus EV will absolutely dominate.

$18/$25/$30 price targets for management to get paid - From the recent SEC filings, management will unlock their shares at those price targets. Management has every motive to PAHMP IT! Commons are under $11 (as of now) and warrants are around $1.90. With the common's $30 price target, warrants would be worth $18.50 (10-baggers with no theta burn). With my combination of commons and warrants (positions below), at $30, this play would be worth $1.5mm. If you sat out on the other EV plays, don't miss out on this one.

This company made more money this year than FSR, WKHS, RIDE and NKLA, combined. Unlike any other EV SPAC, this company is already making money as they have engineering contracts with Hyundai and earning $34mm this year, and $120mm next year (+258%). This revenue both validates their product, and is a solid revenue stream prior to releasing their vehicles.

Miles ahead of all EV competition - This company has built 13 driving prototypes and completed 50+ crash tests. Fisker and Lordstown have built one prototype each, and have completed zero crash tests. This is the only company that's on-track to deliver vehicles on-time (2022). They've also engineered their own skateboard platform completely in-house (unlike others who are relying on their manufacturing partners). In fact, they've built their platform in a record breaking 19 months, and the platform alone is worth over a billion dollars (cost for someone else to develop it). You can see the skateboard being thrown around like how your wife's boyfriend does to her in this inspiring video. They're engineers first (like Tesla), not dreamer designers coming up with a sketch and wanting someone else to build it **cough** Nikola/Fisker **cough**. The amazing thing with the modular skateboard is that any type of body can be quickly and cheaply adapted to it (e.g. bus/van, SUV, car, truck, parcel delivery van and etc) like these and these.

Ridiculously low bar - Other companies have created unrealistic projections which will become their ultimate demise. Fisker ($17) plans to sell 250K units in 2025, when his last company sold a measly 2500 units before shuttering in a year. Yes he plans to sell 100x his last failed company, because it's different this time. This company set a low bar of projecting a paltry 10K units on it's first year to hit its price targets. They've already hit 10K members on the waitlist in California alone. This company under-promises and over-delivers. I'd much rather invest in a company with management I can trust, rather than another Trevor Milton-like hype man.

Synthetic QS play ($20) - For those who couldn't get into QuantumScape/KCAC in time, the Director of Battery Systems of QuantumScape (you know, what the company is known for), left to co-found this company.

Synthetic ARVL play ($17) - For those who couldn't get into Arrival/CIIC, Hyundai invested in both Arrival and this company. Hyundai first announced it's investment in Arrival in January, yet, it still invested in this company just a month later in February. Why else would Hyundai invest in this company so soon after already investing in Arrival, unless it believes this company will be a winner? 🤔

Workhorse killer ($25) - From last week's Barclay's presentation, this company will officially unveil the parcel delivery vehicle next month. This company's EV has the wheelbase/footprint and nimbleness of a Class 1 vehicle (e.g. Ford Transit Connect), but the cargo capacity of a Class 2 vehicle (e.g. Mercedes Sprinter). This company's EV would be the best solution for a parcel delivery vehicle in cities where it's difficult to navigate/park and you'd want a compact vehicle, but also need large volume to haul a lot of packages.

Turo/Hertz/U-Haul alternative - In this presentation (5:00 mark), the Chief Product Officer indicated that the app would determine when the vehicle is not being used and would allow (with your permission) sub-leasing/sub-subscription of the vehicle. This is HUGE. Imagine having a money printer on your driveway. The vehicle is built around sharing/subscription (e.g. Phone as Key) and it would be extremely difficult for other manufacturers to implement this in their current line-up.

I'M rEtArDeD aNd DoN't uNdErStAnD sUbScRiPtIoNs - This company plans to offer these vehicles as a subscription only. The subscription is simply the evolution of a lease. A subscription includes the lease, insurance, maintenance, DMV bullshit and etc all in one monthly flat-fee. The new vehicle lease market is huge, considering there are 4 million new vehicle leases a year. The subscription is ingenious because similar to any other asset-backed security, this company can easily securitize the recurring subscription cash flow and essentially sell the vehicles to investors, clearing up capital from their balance sheet. Rather than a one-time vehicle sale, the subscription model earns 4x the revenue as opposed to just selling it. Furthermore, the subscription model generates consistent cash flow and more resilient than one-time vehicle sales. Imagine if the market saw this company as a subscription company like Netflix and it got their 78x P/E, it would have a $26B market cap in 2022, $65B market cap in 2023, $111B market cap in 2024, $182B market cap in 2025 and $321B market cap in 2026.

Subscriptions make sense for UbeLyft drivers - In my area, leasing an Uber vehicle is $150/week (standard) or $229/week (premium, like this EV). $229 x 52 weeks / 12 months = $992/month. At $600/month including the insurance, maintenance, charging credits and so on, this is a NO BRAINER for UbeLyft drivers and will be wildly popular. Furthermore, the $229/week vehicle only has 5-seatbelts, whereas this has 7-seatbelts, so one could fetch the UberXL fares (+37% more over UberX) while paying the same amount per month or less for a better vehicle. I'm confident there will be a partnership announcement with either Uber or Lyft soon, especially since Uber pledged to transition to 100% by 2030. I'm betting on the side of Uber, since there's deep connections to them like this person and this person. This was even featured in the Lido music video as a robotaxi.

ThIs CaR iS uGlY - Yeah, tell that to SOLO investors and their single-seater death traps. New EV SUVs are in an overcrowded market. Why would you wait years for the Fisker Ocean, when you can already get a Tesla Model Y today? Every legacy manufacturer will be releasing an EV SUV soon, along with NIO's ES8 and Xpeng's G3. The bangbus carves a niche in the market, where no-one has yet to go. They're also making dope wraps to go with the car like this collab with JGOLDCROWN as well as the design company Off-WhiteTM. Jay Leno, a car guy who can sniff out bullshit, met with the folks from this company. It's what made me invest.

Steer-by-wire - This is the first company to use steer-by-wire. Check out this video (0:23 mark) where they have the steering column in different locations. This means that it would be easy to adapt this vehicle to both left-hand-drive and right-hand-drive and opening to a global market. Most vehicles (especially ICE) it's difficult to convert because the steering rack needs to move over, which could interfere with other components under the hood. The HVAC in the vehicle would also need to be re-engineered. However, the HVAC in this EV is built right into the skateboard that's shared among all the platforms, making it very easy to adapt to new body styles.

Speculative Apple acquisition - Everyone knows about Apple's Project Titan EV car. This vehicle centers the driver around their phone, commence the Apple salivation. Rather than one-time hardware purchases, Apple has been pushing recurring subscription cash flow like Apple TV+, Apple Music, Apple News+ and etc, and this company's revenue model is exactly what Apple wants. This company is also located in California, and logistically the best company to acquire. It also doesn't have a retarded egotistical CEO. In fact, the CEO, Dr. Kranz, led BMW's EV division to build gorgeous cars like this. He also looks like Doc Brown from Back to the Future, so that's hella meme worthy. You see that big ass head? You know he's got big brains in it.
Also, here's some rumblings about the Apple Car-
the Apple Car could come in the form of an electric van. Apple’s engineers have designed specimens with black and silver paint, designed in the typical industrial design of the iPhone group. Apple also researches on its own batteries, electric motors, special seats and interior components.
Now look at the Apple's EV rendering and this company's EV. I'll eat my dick on national television if you find another EV closer to Apple's than this company's.https://imgur.com/gallery/qgMkjLP
Positions
HCAC - 26,000 shares @ $10.57 => $30 | $275K => $780K
HCACW - 40,000 warrants @ $1.75 => $18.50 ($30 - $11.50) | $70K => $740K
Proof here, sorry it's not Robinhood so fellow autists might not be able to read it.

TLDR: If you made it this far without clicking a single link, buy Canoo (HCAC/HCACW).
submitted by PlaneReflection to wallstreetbets

99 Cent Store free agents: Shooting Guards

The NBA offseason is always filled with exciting storylines like star free agents and blockbuster trades.
But rather than dwell on the obvious, this series intends to do the opposite: focus on the lower-profile free agents who may have some value to teams. No NBA player is actually "99 Cents," of course, but these are all players who may be bargains based on their perceived market. Most of the players mentioned will probably go in the $3-5M range in terms of salary. Some exceptions will be marked as "featured items" that may go in the higher $5-10M range. If a player is listed as a "clearance rack," then they may be on the fringes of NBA rosters and take minimum deals.
This "99 Cent Store" series has been open for business for the last two offseasons. In the past, we've highlighted names like Fred VanVleet (pre breakout), Davis Bertans, and Christian Wood. Not all of the items turn out to be gems (is Nerlens Noel still not a DPOY candidate yet?), but the returns have been largely positive so far. Let's see if we can keep that momentum going this season.
99 cent store
E'Twaun Moore, New Orleans Pelicans, UFA, 31 years old
Collectively, NBA fans scratched their heads in confusion when the New Orleans Pelicans doled out $8.5M a year for anonymous E'Twaun Moore. After all, this was an unheralded player, a R2 draft pick, a player who hadn't cracked 10 PPG in any of his first six seasons in the league. For all we knew, he was randomly generated by NBA2k.
Three years later, the contract doesn't look much better. Moore got buried this past season in a crowded Pelicans lineup, averaging only 18.2 minutes per game. He doesn't appear to be a part of the franchise's future plans at all. Moore will be tossed out into the darkness, left with no home, and no chance of matching that $8M salary ever again.
However, we have to be mindful as NBA fans not to lump in an "overpaid" player as a synonym for a "bad" player. Someone like Tobias Harris may not be worth his salary, but he's still a good starter. On a lower level, E'Twaun Moore may be the same way. He's not worth $8M a year, but he's actually a solid addition to a rotation (even if the Pelicans squeezed him out.)
Moore's primary virtue is as a 3+D wing. At first glance he's not big enough for that role at 6'4", but he's aided by a pelican-like wingspan that stretches to near 6'10". While he's not a great defender (now at age 31), he's passable at both the SG and SF spots. Offensively, he'll help you as a spacer. He's hit on 39.0% of his threes for his career, and had actually gotten up to 42% and 43% the prior two seasons before he lost some rhythm this season. Even in a down year, he shot 37.7% from deep.
That combination of skills makes Moore a good rotation player, and perhaps even a low-end starter on the right team. I wouldn't expect him to get "overpaid" again, but that's precisely what earns him a place in our store. He's a potential bargain buy right now. If teams miss out on better 3+D wings like Justin Holiday (an alum of this 99 Cent Store column) then they may fall back on a player like Moore.
possible fits
BKN. SG Joe Harris is an excellent shooter, but he's also a free agent. Will the Nets pony up to keep him around? Or will he be jettisoned like others from the pre KD-Kyrie era? If he is, then E'Twaun Moore makes sense as a cheap replacement.
MIL. The shooting guard spot is the biggest question mark for the Bucks, and this offseason may add to the murkiness if Wes Matthews (player option) or Pat Connaughton (UFA) leave town. E'Twaun Moore would be a sensible filler, and platoon with Donte DiVincenzo.
SA. Do Gregg Popovich and the Spurs want to contend for the playoffs in 2020-21? Do they want to blow it up? TBD. But if their intention is to go for the 8th seed, Moore may be an upgrade on the smaller Bryn Forbes, who struggles on the defensive end.
Shaquille Harrison, Chicago Bulls, UFA, 27 years old
Coaches and front offices love to tout that "defense is half the game!" That is, until it's time to actually pay a defensive player. Or draft a defensive player. Or even invite a defensive player onto the roster for a fully guaranteed contract.
Shaq Harrison has been dealing with that struggle for his entire professional career. Coming out of Tulsa, Harrison always had the chops defensively. He's long and agile enough to guard 1s and 2s and even some 3s. The trouble is: shooting was never his strong suit. Even as a senior, he only hit 19.5% from deep in the NCAA. Yikes. That's a surefire recipe to go undrafted, which is exactly what Harrison did.
Since then, Harrison has been trying to improve his shot, the key for him to stick on an NBA roster. This past season, we've started to see some glimmers of progress there. He shot a career-high 38.1% from three, and a career-high 78.0% from the line. Now to be fair, those were both extremely small sample sizes (16-42 from three, 39-50 from the line), but it's still encouraging nonetheless. Because if Harrison can become a passable shooter, then his defensive abilities give him inherent value. He's legitimately one of the better perimeter defenders in the league. ESPN's real plus/minus listed his impact as a +3.0 on defense, which ranked as the 15th best player in the entire NBA (out of 503 qualifiers.) If a coaching staff feels confident in their player development and their shooting coaches, then Harrison would be an intriguing investment to make.
clearance rack
John Konchar, Memphis Grizzlies, 24 years old
Last year, I included Philadelphia PG-SG Shake Milton in this column, causing Sixers fans to riot and demand that I mention the team had the right to extend his two-way contract if they wanted. The team did, and Milton will prove to be a bargain for them over the next few years. Similarly, the Memphis Grizzlies will have that opportunity to keep two-way player John Konchar on the team if they want. But if they don't, I'd be eyeing Konchar as a possible roster addition.
No doubt, there are reasons to doubt John Konchar's NBA prospects. He comes from a school that's so small that they didn't even know what to name it (shifting a few times before settling on "Purdue Fort Wayne"). And at the risk of being politically incorrect, we should also mention that he's white. That element does impact scouting, whether teams want to admit it or not. When an undersized (6'5") white dude walks into the gym, NBA GMs don't exactly sit up and salivate; Liberace showed more excitement at strip clubs.
All that said, Konchar has been productive time and time again. As you'd expect, he can hit the three pointer. Still, he's not the stereotypical catch-and-shoot spacer. What's most intriguing about Konchar is his playing strength. He may be only 6'5" (6'7" wingspan) but he plays much bigger than that. As a college senior, he grabbed 8.5 rebounds a game and blocked 0.9 shots to boot. He also converted 62.9% of his field goals in two-point range. It may have been low level competition, but he flat-out bullied his opponents.
Naturally you'd presume: there's no way he can do that in the pros! But so far, so good. Konchar put up similar numbers in the G-League this season, hitting 56.5% from the field and grabbing 10.3 rebounds per 36 minutes. From there, you'd presume: there's no way he can do that in the actual NBA! Well, in his 160 minutes of NBA action, Konchar shot 65.7% from the field and averaged 9.9 rebounds per 36 minutes.
Clearly, it's too early to take his success as gospel. Konchar needs to keep proving himself. But eventually, we're going to have to presume something else: maybe this guy is actually good. If I ran an NBA team, I'd want to run that experiment with Konchar in our uniform and not someone else's.
previous entries
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submitted by ZandrickEllison to nba

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